Small swings, high drama: why UK polls are less volatile than they seem – in charts

In what is beginning to look like a fragmented five-party system, small swings carry outsized political consequences‘Anyone but Labour’ or ‘anyone but Reform’? Clash of animosities likely to define May local electionsCabinet reshuffles, party infighting, policy reversals, byelections, defections and apparently huge swings in support – the UK’s political news cycle feels especially relentless at the moment.But if you look closely at the polls since last year’s local elections, remarkably little has changed. Continue reading...